Natalia Calvo
Published (peer reviewed) Other publications
Published (peer-reviewed)
2024
Manzini, E., B. Ayarzagüena, N. Calvo and D. Matei (2024): Nonlinearity and asymmetry of the ENSO stratospheric pathway to North Atlantic and Europe, revisited. J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 129, doi: 10.1026/2023JD039992.
2022
Benito-Barca S., Calvo N., Abalos M. (2022): Driving mechanisms for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation impact on stratospheric ozone, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 15729–15745. doi: 10.5194/acp-2022-378
Lawrence Z. D., Abalos M., Ayarzagüena B., Barriopedro D., Butler A. H., Calvo N., de la Cámara A., Charlton-Perez A., Domeisen D. I. V., Dunn-Sigouin E., Garcia-Serrano J., Garfinkel C. I., Hindley N. P., Jia L., Jucker M., Karpechko A. Y., Kim H., Lee S. H., Lin P., Osman M., Palmeiro F. M., Polichtchouk I., Schwartz C., Son S.-W., Statnaia I., Taguchi M., Tyrrell N., Wright C. J., and Wu R. (2022): Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal prediction systems, Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3, 977-1001, doi:10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022.
2021
Abalos M., Calvo N., Benito-Barca S., Garny H., Hardiman S. C., Lin P., Andrews M. B., Butchart N., Garcia R., Orbe C., Saint-Martin D., Watanabe S., Yoshida K. (2021): The Brewer-Dobson circulation in CMIP6. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13571–13591. doi: 10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021.
Ayarzagüena, B., E. Manzini, N. Calvo, D. Matei: Interaction between decadal-to-multidecadal ocean variability and sudden stratospheric warmings. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1504, 215- 229, doi: 10.1111/ nyas.14663 (2021)
Vicente-Serrano S.M., García-Herrera R., Peña-Angulo D., Tomas-Burguera M., Domínguez-Castro F., Noguera I., Calvo N., Murphy C., Nieto R., Gimeno L., Gutierrez J.M., Azorin-Molina C., El Kenawy A. (2021): Do CMIP models capture long-term observed annual precipitation trends?. Climate Dynamics, 1-18. doi: 10.1007%2Fs00382-021-06034-x
2020
Jaume-Santero F., Barriopedro D., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., Salcedo-Sanz S. (2020): Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms. Scientific Reports, 10, 1-12, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6.
2019
Abalos M., Polvani L., Calvo N., Kinnison D., Ploeger F., Randel W., Solomon S. (2019): New insights on the impact of ozone depleting substances on the Brewer-Dobson circulation, J. Geophys. Res: Atmospheres, 124, 2435-2451, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029301.
Ayarzagüena B., López-Parages, J., Iza, M., Calvo, N. and Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. (2019): Stratospheric role in interdecadal changes of El Niño impacts over Europe Climate Dynamics, 52, 1173-1186, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4186-3 PDF.
Ayarzagüena B., Palmeiro, F. M., Barriopedro, D., Calvo, N., Langematz, U. and Shibata, K. (2019): On the representation of major stratospheric warmings in reanalyses, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 9469-9484, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9469-2019.
2018
Ayarzagüena B., Barriopedro D., Garrido-Perez J.M., Abalos M., de la Cámara A., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., Ordóñez C. (2018): Stratospheric Connection to the Abrupt End of the 2016/2017 Iberian Drought, Geophysical Research Letters, 45(22), 12,639-12,646.
de la Cámara, A., M. Abalos, P. Hitchcock, N. Calvo, and R. R. Garcia (2018): Response of Arctic ozone to sudden stratospheric warmings. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 16499-16513, doi:10.5194/acp-18-16499-2018. PDF.
2017
N.Calvo, R.R. Garcia and D.E. Kinnison (2017): Revisiting Southern Hemisphere polar stratospheric temperature trends in WACCM: the role of dynamical forcing.Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL072792
N.Calvo, M. Iza, M.M. Hurwitz, E.Manzini, C.Peña-Ortiz, A.H. Butler, C.Cagnazzo, S. Ineson, and C.I. Garfinkel (2017): Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Pathway of different El Niño flavors in Stratosphere-Resolving CMIP5 models. J. Clim., (in press)
D.Ivy, S. Solomon, N.Calvo, D.W.J.Thompson (2017): Observed connections of Arctic Stratospheric ozone extremes to Northern Hemisphere surface climate. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa57a4
Palmeiro F.M., M. Iza, D. Barriopedro, N. Calvo and R. García-Herrera (2017): The complex behavior of El Niño winter 2015-2016. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1002/2017GL072920
2016
M. Iza, N. Calvo, E. Manzini (2016): The stratospheric pathway of La Niña. J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D- 16-0230.1
T. Li, N. Calvo, J. Yue, J. Russell III, A. Smith, M. Mlynczac, A. Chandran, X. Dou, A. Liu (2016): Southern Hemisphere summer mesopause responses to El Niño Southern Oscillation. J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D- 15-0816.1
Chiodo G., Garcia-Herrera R., Calvo N., Vaquero J., Barriopedro D., Cabanelas J. and Matthes K. (2016): The impact of a future solar minimum on climate change projections in the Northern Hemisphere. Environmental Research Letters,11, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034015.
Butler, A.H., A. Arribas, M. Athanassiadou, J. Baehr, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, M. Deque, D.I.V. Domeisen, K. Froehlich, H. Hendon, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, M. Iza, A. Karpechko, A. Kumar, C. MacLachlan, W.J. Merryfield, W.A. Mueller, A. O'Neill, A.A. Scaife, J. Scinocca, M. Sigmond, T.N. Stockdale, and T. Yasuda (2016): The Climate-system Historical Forecasting Project: Do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter? Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1002/qj.2743.
2015
Calvo, N., Polvani, L. M. and Solomon, S. (2015): On the surface impact of Arctic stratospheric ozone extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10(9), 094003.
Palmeiro F.M., Barriopedro D., García-Herrera R. and Calvo N. (2015): Comparing Sudden Stratospheric Warming Definitions in Reanalysis Data. J.Clim., 28, 6823-6840, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0004.1
Iza, M., and N. Calvo, 2015: Role of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings on the response to Central Pacific El Niño. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, doi:10.1002/2014GL062935.
2014
Barriopedro D., Calvo N. (2014): On the relationship between ENSO, Stratospheric Sudden Warmings and Blocking. J. Clim., 27, 4704-4720, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00770.1
Hurwitz, M.M., N. Calvo, C.I. Garfinkel, A.H. Butler, S. Ineson, C. Cagnazzo, E. Manzini, and C. Peña-Ortiz (2014): Extra-tropical atmospheric response to ENSO in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 43, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2110-z.
Manzini, E., A. Karpechko, J. Anstey, M. Baldwin, R. Black, C. Cagnazzo, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, B. Christiansen, P. Davini, E. Gerber, M. Giorgetta, L. Gray, S. C. Hardiman, Y.-Y.Lee, D. R. Marsh, B. McDaniel, A. Purich, A. Scaife, D. Shindell, S.-W. Son, S. Watanabe, G. Zappa: Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling. J. Geophys. Res., 119, doi:10.1002/2013JD021403 (2014)
Chiodo G., Marsh D., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., and García J.A. (2014): On the detection of the solar signal in the tropical stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. DOI:10.5194/acpd-13-30097-2013
Gómez-Escolar M., Fueglistaler S., Calvo N., Barriopedro D. (2014): Tropical Response to Stratospheric Sudden Warmings and its modulation by the QBO. Journal of Geophysical Research, 39 (22), doi: 10.1029/2012GL053632
Palmeiro, F.M., Calvo N. and Garcia R.R. (2014): Future changes in the Brewer Dobson circulation under different greenhouse gas concentrations. J. Atmos. Sci., 71(8), 2962-2975, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-13-0289.1
2013
Marsh, D. R., M.J. Mills, D.E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, N. Calvo, L. Polvani (2013): Climate change from 1850 to 2005 simulated in CESM1 (WACCM). J. Climate, 26, 7372-7391, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D- 12-00558.1.
Charlton-Perez A.J., Baldwin M., Birner T., Black R., Bulter A., Calvo N., Davis N., Gerber E., Gillet N., Hardiman S., Kim J., Krueger K., Lee Y.-Y., Manzini E., McDaniel B.A., Polvani L., Reichler T., Shaw T., Sigmond M., Son S.-W., Tohey M., Wilcox L., Yoden S., Christiansen B., Lott F., Shindell D., Yukimoto S., Watanabe S. (2013): On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in the low-top versions of the CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research.
Li, T., N. Calvo, J. Yue, X. Dou, J. M. Russell III, M. Mlyndzak, C-Y. She, X. Xue (2013): Influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the Mesosphere. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1-5, doi: 10.1002/grl.50598.
Young P.J., Butler A., Calvo N., Haimberger L., Kushner P.J., Marsh D.R., Randel W.J., Rosenlof K.H. (2013): Agreement in Late twentieth century Southern Hemispehre stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal2, CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research.118, 6005-6013, doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50126
Hardiman, S., N. Butchart, N. Calvo: The morphology of the Brewer-Dobson circulation and its response to climate change in CMIP5 simulations. Q. J. R. Met. Soc., 140, 1958-1965, doi: 10.1002/gj.2258 (2013).
2012
Gómez-Escolar, M., Fueglistaler S., Calvo N., Barriopedro D. (2012): Changes in polar stratospheric temperature climatology in relation to stratospheric sudden warming occurrence. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L22802, doi:10.1029/2012GL053632.
Calvo N., García R.R., Marsh D.R., Mills M.J., Kinnison D.E., Young P.J. (2012): Reconciling modeled and observed temperature trends over Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L16803, doi:10.1029/2012GL052526.
Gerber E.P., Butler A., Calvo N., Charlton-Pérez A., Giorgetta M., Manzini E., Polvani L.M., Sassi F., Scaife A., Shaw T., Son S.-W., Watanabe S. (2012): Assessing and Understanding the Impact of Stratospheric Dynamics and Variability on Earth System. Bulleting of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1.
Chiodo G., Calvo N., Marsh D.R., García-Herrera R. (2012): The 11-year solar cycle signal in transient WACCM3.5 simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D06109, doi:10.1029/2011JD016393
2011
Zubiaurre I., Calvo N. (2011): The ENSO Modoki signal in the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D06109, doi:10.1029/2011JD016690
Richter, Matthes K., Calvo N., Gray L. (2011): Influence of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation and El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the frequency of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D20111, doi:10.1029/2011JD015757.
Calvo N., Marsh D.R. (2011): The combined effects of ENSO and the 11 year solar cycle on the Northern Hemisphere polar stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D23112, doi:10.1029/2010JD015226.
2010
Calvo N., García R.R., Randel W.J., Marsh D.R. (2010): Dynamical mechanism for the increase in tropical upwelling in the lowermost tropical stratosphere during warm ENSO events. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67, 2331-2340.
2009
Cagnazzo C., Manzini E., Calvo N., Douglass A., Akiyoshi H., Bekki S., Chipperfield M., Dameris M., Deushi M., Fischer A.M., Garny H., Gettelman A., Giorgetta M.A., Plummer D., Rozanov E., Shepherd T.G., Shibata K., Stenke A., Struhers H., Tian W. (2009): Northern winter stratospheric temperatures and ozone responses to ENSO inferred from an ensemble of Chemisry Climate Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9, 8935-8948.
Randel W.J., García R.R., Calvo N., Marsh D. (2009): ENSO influence on zonal mean temperature and ozone in the tropical lower stratosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L15822, doi:10.1029/2009GL039343.
Calvo N., García R.R. (2009): Wave forcing of the tropical upwelling in the lower stratosphere under increasing greehouse gas concentration. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66, 3184-3196. doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3085.1
Calvo N., Giorgetta M.A., García-Herrera R., Manzini E. (2009): Correction on Non-linearity of the combined effect of El Nino and QBO effects on the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex in MAECHAM5 simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D20117.
Calvo N., Giorgetta M.A., Garcia-Herrera R., Manzini E. (2009): Non-linearity of the combined warm ENSO and QBO effects on the Northern Hemisphere Polar Vortex in MAECHM5 simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D13109. doi:10.1029/2008JD011445
2008
Calvo N., García-Herrera R., García R. (2008): The ENSO signal in the Stratosphere. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1146, 16-31
Peña-Ortiz C., García-Herrera R., Ribera P., Calvo N. (2008): Asymmetries on the QBO Signature on the Mid to High latitudes Circulation of the Stratosphere. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1146, 32-49.
2007
Gallego D., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., Ribera P. (2007): A new meteorological record for Cadiz (Spain) 1806-1854. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D12108, doi: 10.1029/2007JD008517
Calvo N., Giorgetta M.A., Peña-Ortiz C. (2007): Sensitivity of the boreal winter circulation in the middle atmosphere to the quasi-biennial oscillation in MAECHAM5 simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D10124, doi: 10.10296/2006JD007844.
2006
García-Herrera R., Calvo N., García R.R., Giorgetta M.A. (2006): Propagation of ENSO temperature signals into the middle atmosphere: a comparison of two general circulation models and ERA-40 reanalysis data. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, D06101, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006061.
2005
Prieto M.R., Gallego D., García-Herrera R., Calvo N. (2005): Deriving Wind Force Terms from Nautical Reports through Content Analysis. The Spanish and the French cases. Climatic Change, 73, 1-2, 37-55
García-Herrera R., Wilkinson W., Koek F.B., Prieto M.R., Calvo N., Hernández E. (2005): Description and general background to ships’ logbooks as a source of climatic data. Climatic Change, 73, 1-2, 13-36.
2004
Calvo N., García R.R., García-Herrera R., Gallego D., Gimeno L., Hernández E., Ribera P. (2004): Analysis of the ENSO signal in tropospheric and stratospheric temperatures observed by MSU, 1979-2000. Journal of Climate, 17, 3934-3945
Ribera P., Gallego D., Gimeno L., Pérez J.F., García-Herrera R., Hernández E., de la Torre L., Nieto R., Calvo N. (2004): The use of equivalent temperature to analyse climate variability. Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica, 48, 459-468
Ribera P., Gimeno L., Gallego D., García-Herrera R., Hernández, de la Torre L., Nieto R., Calvo N. (2004): Three Aproaches for determining extreme years of global atmospheric temperatura. Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica, 48, 447-458.
2003
Ribera P., Gallego D., Peña-Ortiz C., Gimeno L., García-Herrera R., Hernández E., Calvo N. (2003): The stratospheric QBO signal in the NCEP reanalysis, 1958-2001. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 13, 1691, doi:10.1029/2003GL017131
García-Herrera R., Gallego D., Hernandez E., Gimeno L., Ribera P., Calvo N. (2003): Precipitation Trends in the Canary Islands. International Journal of Climatology, 23, 235-241.
Other publications
Manzini, E., N. Calvo, E. Gerber, M. Giorgetta, J. Perlwitz, L. Polvani, F. Sassi, A. Sciaife, T. Shaw: Report on the SPARC Dynvar workshop 2 on Modeling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-troposphere system. SPARC Newsletters, 36 (2011).
Coauthor in Chapter 8 (Natural Variability of Stratospheric Ozone) of the SPARC CCMVal Report on the Evaluation of Chemistry Climate Models, V. Eyring, T. G. Shepherd, D. W. Waugh (Eds). SPARC report No. 5. 2010.
Arblaster, J.M, Gillett, N. P. (Lead Authors), Calvo, N, Foster, P.M., Polvani, L.M., Son, S.-W., Waugh, D. W. & Young, P. J., (2014). Stratospheric Ozone Changes and Climate, Chapter 4 in Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project, Report No. 55, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 2014.
Langematz, U. , Tully, M. (Lead Authors), Calvo, N., Dameris, M., de Laat, A. T. J., Klekociuk, A., Muller, R., and Young, P. J., (2018). Polar Stratospheric Ozone: Past, Present and Future, Chapter 4 in Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project, Report No. 58, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 2018.
Gerber, E., Martineau, P. (Lead Authors) and 15 co-authors including N. Calvo (2021): Chapter 6: Extratropical Stratosphere-Troposphere coupling, SPARC Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) Final Report.