Blanca Ayarzagüena
Published (peer reviewed) Book chapters and other publications
Published (peer-reviewed)
2024
Baldwin, M. P., Birner, T., Ayarzagüena, B. (2024): Tropospheric amplification of stratosphere-troposphere coupling, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.
García-Burgos, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro, D., Woollings, T., García-Herrera, R. (2024): Intraseasonal shift in the wintertime North Atlantic jet structure projected by CMIP6 models. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7 (234), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00775-2
O'Reilly, C., Drouard, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Ambaum, M.H.P., Methven, J. (2024): The role of storm-track dynamics in the intraseasonal variability of the winter ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic, Quarterly Journal of the Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4691
Manzini, E., Ayarzagüena, B., Calvo, N., Matei, N. (2024): Nonlinearity and Asymmetry of the ENSO Stratospheric Pathway to North Atlantic and Europe, Revisited, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129(2), e2023JD039992, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039992
2023
Garcia-Burgos, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro, D., Garcia-Herrera, R. (2023): Jet configurations leading to extreme winter temperatures over Europe , Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (24), e2023JD039304, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039304
Garcia-Burgos, M., Gómara, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., González-Alemán, J.J., Zurita-Gotor, P., Ayarzagüena, B. (2023): Abrupt and persistent atmospheric circulation changes in the North Atlantic under La Niña conditions , Weather and Climate Extremes, 42, 100609
Maddison, J. W., Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro,D. and Garcia-Herrera, R. (2023): Added value of a multiparametric eddy-driven jet diagnostic for understanding European air stagnation , Environmental Research Letters, 18(8), 084022. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace72e
Barriopedro, D., Ayarzagüena, B., Garcia-Burgos, M. and Garcia-Herrera, R. (2023): A multi-parametric perspective of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet , Climate Dynamics, 61, 375-397, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06574-w
2022
Lawrence, Z. D., Abalos, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro, D., Butler, A. H., Calvo, N., de la Cámara, A., Charlton-Perez, A., Domeisen, D. I. V., Dunn-Sigouin, E., García-Serrano, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hindley, N. P., Jia, L., Jucker, M., Karpechko, A. Y., Kim, H., Lang, A. L., Lee, S. H., Lin, P., Osman, M., Palmeiro, F. M., Perlwitz, J., Polichtchouk, I., Richter, J. H., Schwartz, C., Son, S.-W., Statnaia, I., Taguchi, M., Tyrrell, N. L., Wright, C. J., and Wu, R. W.-Y. (2022): Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems , Weather Climate Dynamics, 3, 977-1001, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022.
Rodríguez-Montes, M., Ayarzagüena, B., and Guijarro, M. (2022): Polar night jet characterization through artificial intelligence , Computers & Geosciences, 166, 105176
Dorado-Liñán, I., Ayarzagüena, B., Babst, F. et al. (2022): Jet stream position explains regional anomalies in European beech forest productivity and tree growth, Nature Communications, 13, 2015
González-Alemán, J.J., Grams, C., Ayarzagüena, B., Zurita, P., Domeisen, D., G坦mara, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. and Vitart, F. (2022): Tropospheric role in the predictability of the surface impact of the 2018 sudden stratospheric warming event, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL095464
Scheffler, J., Ayarzagüena, B., Langematz, U. and Orsolini, Y. (2022): Elevated Stratopause Events in the Current and a Future Climate: A Chemistry-Climate Model Study, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 227, 105804
2021
Ayarzagüena, B., Manzini, E., Calvo, N., and Matei, D. (2021): Interaction between decadal-to-multidecadal ocean variability and sudden stratospheric warmings, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1504, 215-229.
Baldwin, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Birner, T., Butchart, N., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C. I., Garny, H., Gerber, E. P., Hegglin, M. I., Langematz, U. and Pedatella, N. M. (2021): Sudden Stratospheric Warmings, Reviews of Geophysics, 59, e2020RG000708
2020
Ayarzagüena, B., Charlton-Perez, A. J. et al. (2020): Uncertainty in the response of sudden stratospheric warmings and stratosphere-troposphere coupling to quadrupled CO2 concentrations in CMIP6 models, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD032345, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032345
Kelleher M. E., Ayarzagüena, B., and Screen J. A. (2020): Inter-seasonal Connections Between the Timing of the Stratospheric Final Warming and Arctic Sea Ice , Journal of Climate, 33, 3079-3092, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0064.1.
Domeisen D.I.V, Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ayarzagüena, B., et al. (2020): The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction. Part II: Predictability arising from stratosphere -troposphere coupling, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD030923.
Domeisen D.I.V, Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ayarzagüena, B., et al. (2020): The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction. Part I: Predictability of the stratosphere, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD030920.
2019
Ayarzagüena B., Palmeiro, F. M., Barriopedro, D., Calvo, N., Langematz, U. and Shibata, K. (2019): On the representation of major stratospheric warmings in reanalyses, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19, 9469-9484, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9469-2019.
Thieblemont R., Ayarzagüena B., Matthes K., Bekki S., Abalichin J. and Langematz U. (2019): Drivers and surface signal of inter-annual variability of boreal stratospheric final warmings Journal of Geophysical Research, 124, 5400-5417, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029852.
Ayarzagüena B., López-Parages, J., Iza, M., Calvo, N. and Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. (2019): Stratospheric role in interdecadal changes of El Niño impacts over Europe Climate Dynamics, 52, 1173-1186, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4186-3 PDF.
2018
Ayarzagüena B., Barriopedro D., Garrido-Perez J.M., Abalos M., de la Cámara A., García-Herrera R., Calvo N., Ordóñez C. (2018): Stratospheric Connection to the Abrupt End of the 2016/2017 Iberian Drought, Geophysical Research Letters, 45(22), 12,639-12,646.
Ayarzagüena B., Ineson, S., Dunstone, N. J., Baldwin, M. P. and Scaife A. A. (2018): Intrasesonal effects of El Niño Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate Journal of Climate, 31, 8861-8873, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0097.1
Ayarzagüena B., et al (2018): No Robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: A Multi-model assessment from CCMI Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18, 11277-11287, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-11277-2018 PDF.
2017
Díaz-Durán A., Serrano E., Ayarzagüena B., Abalos M., and de la Cámara A. (2017): Intra-seasonal variability of extreme boreal stratospheric polar vortex events and their precursors. Climate Dynamics, 49, 3473–3491, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3524-1.
2016
Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., Suarez-Moreno, R., Ayarzagüena B., Lopez-Parages, J., Gomara,I., Villamayor, J., Mohino, E., Losada, R. and Castaño-Tierno A. (2016): A Review of ENSO Influence on the North Atlantic. A Non-Stationary Signal. Atmosphere, 7, 87, doi:10.3390/atmos7070087. PDF.
Ayarzagüena B., and J. A. Screen (2016): Future Arctic sea ice loss reduces severity of cold air outbreaks in midlatitudes.Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2801–2809, doi: 10.1002/2016GL068092. PDF.
2015
Lopez-Bustins, J.A., Serrano E., Ayarzagüena B. , and Sanchez-Lorenzo, A. (2015): Spatial and temporal temperature trends in the lower stratosphere during the extended boreal winter from reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 3888-3901, doi: 10.1002/joc.4253.
Ayarzagüena B., Orsolini, Y.J., Langematz, U., Abalichin J. and Kubin A. (2015): The Relevance of the Location of Blocking Highs for Stratospheric Variability in a Changing Climate. Journal of Climate, 28, 531–549, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00210.1. PDF.
2013
Ayarzagüena B., Langematz, U., Meul, S., Oberländer, S., Abalichin, J., and Kubin A. (2013): The role of climate change and ozone recovery for the future timing of major stratospheric warmings. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 2460–2465, doi:10.1002/grl.50477. PDF.
2011
Ayarzagüena B., Langematz, U., and Serrano E. (2011): Tropospheric forcing of the stratosphere: A comparative study of the two different major stratospheric warmings in 2009 and 2010. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D18114, doi: 10.1029/2010JD015023. PDF.
2009
Ayarzagüena, B., and Serrano E. (2009): Monthly Characterization of the Tropospheric Circulation over the Euro-Atlantic Area in Relation with the Timing of Stratospheric Final Warmings. Journal of Climate, 22, 6313-6324, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2913.1. PDF.
Book Chapters and other publications
Gerber, E. P., Martineau, P. (Lead Authors), and 15 co-authors including Ayarzag端ena, B. (2021): Chapter 6: Extratropical stratosphere-troposphere coupling, SPARC Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) Final Report.
Ayarzagüena, B., Baldwin, M., Birner, T., Butchart, N., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C. I., Garny, H., Gerber, E. P., Hegglin, M. I., Langematz, U. and Pedatella, N. M. (2021): Sudden stratospheric warmings: a phenomenon with global effects. SPARC newsletter, 57, 8-11, ISSN: 1225-4680.
Baldwin, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Birner, T., Butchart, N., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C. I., Garny, H., Gerber, E. P., Hegglin, M. I., Langematz, U. and Pedatella, N. M. (2021): Global effects of disruptions to the stratospheric circulation. EOS, 102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO157568.
Langematz, U., Ayarzagüena B. , Birner, T., Budde, M., Garny, H., Gerber, E., Godin-Beekmann, S., Hitchcock, P., Hubert, D., Lossow, S., Meul, S., Oberländer, S., Riese, M., and Stenke, A. (2016): Stratospheric change and its role for climate prediction (SHARP2016). SPARC newsletter, 47, 20-23, ISSN: 1225-4680.
Rodríguez-Fonseca B., Rodríguez-Puebla C. (Ayarzagüena, B. , contributing autor) (2010): Climate teleconnections affecting Iberian Peninsula climate variability. Predictability and expected changes. [in The Spanish CLIVAR Report - Climate in Spain: Past, Present and Future. CLIVAR and MICINN (F. F. Pérez, R. Boscolo Eds.)], ISBN: 978-84-614-8115-6, pp. 53-67
de la Cámara, A., J. García-Serrano, B. Ayarzagüena, M. Abalos, B. González, and E. Serrano (2009): ENSO influence on the variability modes of the boreal winter stratosphere. Física de la Tierra, 21, 167-178. Universidad Complutense de Madrid.